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2025-11-15 16:01

When I first heard Cedelf Tupas describe Gab Banal as a "volume shooter" who's "very streaky," I immediately recognized the archetype. We've all seen these players in the PBA - the ones who can single-handedly win you a game when they're hot but disappear completely during cold streaks. Having followed Philippine basketball for over a decade, I've developed a keen eye for identifying which players can make that crucial jump from regional leagues to the professional stage, and Banal's situation perfectly illustrates the complex calculus teams face when building their rosters within budget constraints.

The MPBL has become this fascinating proving ground, and Banal absolutely dominated there. His mechanics are textbook perfect - that smooth release and disciplined footwork didn't develop overnight. I've watched countless hours of his MPBL footage, and what stands out isn't just the shooting percentage but how he creates space against defenders. Yet Tupas raises the million-peso question: can someone who excelled in the MPBL maintain that efficiency against PBA defenses where shooting guards are typically 2-3 inches taller and 15-20 pounds heavier? I've seen this transition fail more often than it succeeds. Remember when Aljon Marin dominated the D-League but struggled to find his rhythm in the PBA? The jump in physicality is real, and it breaks more players than it makes.

What fascinates me about Banal's case is that he's not some raw prospect. At 28, he brings veteran savvy from those high-pressure MPBL games, particularly during Bacoor's championship run where he averaged 18.7 points on 42% shooting from deep. Those numbers are impressive, but here's what the stats don't show - how he'll handle switching defenses against PBA teams that have dedicated video coordinators dissecting every tendency. I've spoken with several team scouts who estimate that only about 35% of standout MPBL players successfully adapt to the PBA's systematic defensive schemes.

From a team-building perspective, Banal represents an intriguing value proposition. For teams operating with a budget around ₱15-18 million for their guard rotation, he could provide scoring punch at maybe 60-70% of the cost of established PBA stars. I'd argue that for teams like Blackwater or Terrafirma, taking a chance on Banal makes more sense than overpaying for a declining veteran. The risk-reward calculation changes dramatically based on your team's position - contenders might see him as a luxury, while rebuilding teams could view him as a potential cornerstone.

His streaky nature does concern me though. In the PBA's 36-game season, consistency matters more than explosive single-game performances. I've tracked similar players through the years, and the pattern suggests that volume shooters who succeed in the PBA typically maintain at least 38% three-point shooting while cutting their turnover rate by about 25% compared to their regional league numbers. Banal's MPBL stats show he's capable of hot streaks where he'll hit 7-8 threes in a game, but he also had stretches where he went 2-15. That volatility becomes magnified in the PBA's tighter scheduling.

The physical adjustment can't be overstated. I remember watching Chris Banchero's transition from international leagues to the PBA - how he added 12 pounds of muscle specifically to handle the interior defense. Banal will need similar physical development, particularly in his core strength, to finish through contact against defenders like Scottie Thompson or CJ Perez. Teams will test him immediately, forcing drives into traffic rather than settling for jumpers.

What I find most compelling is the timing. With several PBA teams reevaluating their salary structures post-pandemic, value signings have become increasingly important. A player like Banal could command somewhere between ₱150,000 to ₱200,000 monthly - reasonable for his potential output but still representing significant savings compared to established names. For context, top-tier PBA shooting guards typically earn ₱350,000-₱500,000 monthly, so the value proposition becomes clear.

Having observed similar transitions, I'd recommend teams consider deploying Banal initially in a sixth-man role, similar to how Ginebra developed Stanley Pringle. This would allow him to adjust to PBA physicality while providing scoring bursts against second units. The ideal scenario would see him playing 18-22 minutes per game initially, with the potential to grow into a larger role as he adapts.

The reality is that the PBA's economic landscape has shifted dramatically. Teams can no longer afford to overspend on marginal upgrades, making calculated risks on players like Banal increasingly necessary. His MPBL performance suggests he's worth the gamble, particularly for teams building around young cores who need scoring variety. I'd personally take that chance if I were managing a mid-tier budget, structuring the contract with performance incentives tied to shooting percentages and defensive metrics.

In the final analysis, Banal represents exactly the type of player that makes PBA team construction so fascinating - the intersection of talent evaluation, budget management, and projection. His success will depend as much on finding the right system as on his individual abilities. The team that signs him will need patience and a clear development plan, but the potential reward could significantly outperform the financial investment. In today's PBA, finding those value opportunities often separates successful franchises from the rest.



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